Timeline

AI social engineering: how the evidence has built up

Guidance from the NCSC, government statistics, a company's own report and two surveys make up the record. Few of them measure AI-assisted attacks directly.

Last reviewed against NCSC (UK), UK Government (DSIT and Home Office) and Anthropic. Sources

Reading the record

Guidance, reports and surveys

NCSC pages on AI and on phishing both carry the date 13 February 2024 [9]. Over the following two years the record adds government policy on securing AI [6], the NCSC's outlook to 2027 [1], an AI company's account of criminals using its tools [5] and two industry surveys [7] [8]. The most recent entry is the government's Cyber Security Breaches Survey of 30 April 2026 [4].

Entries use the date shown on the source page itself. Where a page gives less than a full date, the entry shows only what the page gives.

Go back to the overview or on to the defence plan.

Handle the figures with care

The Gartner article gives no sample size [7], and Vodafone Business sponsored its own survey [8]. The government survey is the sturdiest UK measure of phishing [4], yet the figures quoted here do not say whether AI was involved.

Timeline

How it unfolded

Newest first. Each entry links to its source.

  1. Latest

    Government publishes the Cyber Security Breaches Survey 2025/2026[4]

    It found that 43% of businesses had a breach or attack in the past 12 months and that phishing reached 38% of businesses. It also recorded how many organisations had practices to manage AI-related risks.

  2. NCSC says prompt injection may never be fully fixed[2]

    An NCSC blog by Dave Chismon argued that prompt injection is not SQL injection and that the aim should be to reduce its likelihood and impact.

  3. Gartner survey reports AI-based attacks on staff[7]

    The Register reported that 62% of security leaders surveyed had seen AI-based attacks on staff in the past year, including fake audio and video and prompt injection.

  4. Anthropic reports criminal use of its AI tools[5]

    Anthropic described a data extortion campaign against at least 17 organisations and North Korean operatives using AI to obtain remote technical jobs. It said AI has lowered the barriers to sophisticated cybercrime.

  5. NCSC assesses the impact of AI on the cyber threat to 2027[1]

    The NCSC judged that AI will help attackers work faster and more efficiently on some intrusion steps. It also noted that attackers already use AI to help gain entry through social engineering.

  6. Government publishes the AI Cyber Security Code of Practice[6]

    The code sets baseline cyber security principles for securing AI systems and the organisations that develop and deploy them.

  7. Vodafone Business survey on AI phishing readiness reported[8]

    Tech Monitor reported that 54% of UK businesses had no response plan for AI-driven phishing and that only 33% of employees identified fraudulent communications.

  8. NCSC publishes guidance on AI and on phishing[9]

    The NCSC's pages on AI and cyber security and on defending against phishing carry this date. The first describes prompt injection as one of the most widely reported weaknesses in large language models.

Key dates

The dates that matter

7 May 2025

NCSC publishes its assessment of AI and the cyber threat to 2027[1]

27 August 2025

Anthropic publishes its August 2025 threat intelligence report[5]

23 September 2025

Gartner survey on AI-based attacks against staff reported[7]

8 December 2025

NCSC blog sets out why prompt injection is not like SQL injection[2]

30 April 2026

Cyber Security Breaches Survey 2025/2026 published[4]

2027

Year the NCSC's assessment of AI and the cyber threat looks ahead to[1]

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